War Report Card | War.Direct

01 The Scoreboard OSINT ANALYSIS

🇺🇸🇮🇱 US / ISRAEL

Targets struck15,000+

Warships sunk155+

Leaders killed48+

Verified strikes985

Killed in Iran3,636+

Killed in Lebanon4,346

Children killed410+

18,000 bombs dropped. Air force neutralized. Navy destroyed. Nuclear sites damaged. IRGC command decimated. 8 bridges severed. 60%+ of Iran's missile launchers destroyed. 1.2M+ displaced in Lebanon. 3.2M IDPs in Iran.

V S

🇮🇷 IRAN & AXIS

Strikes on Israel/Gulf840

Hormuz traffic down~30%

US aircraft downed2

Oil price surge+27%

Killed in Israel57

Killed in Gulf32

Children killed4

1,800+ missiles fired. F-15E shot down — first US combat air loss in 20 years. 4 US bases struck (Al Udeid, Ali Al Salem, Al Dhafra, 5th Fleet HQ). Hormuz closed. Cluster munitions on cities. Saudi pipeline — 10% of export capacity wiped. Aramco’s Jazan refinery hit 3× in August by Houthi drones; 17 merchant seafarers killed in Hormuz.

02 Human Cost VERIFIED SOURCES

Iran

3,636+

total killed — military & civilian (HRANA)

3,636+ civilians (HRANA) · 1,800–6,000+ military (disputed) · 48–52 senior commanders · 26,500+ injured · 3.2M IDPs

Lebanon

4,346

killed — Lebanese Health Ministry (as of Aug 16)

1.2M+ displaced · 12,301 injured · strikes on the south have continued daily through every truce

Israel

57

killed (28 civilians + 29 military)

8,966 wounded · Israeli authorities

US Military

18

killed (CENTCOM)

757 wounded (DCAS); independent estimates 900+ · all deaths outside Iran · 2 killed in Jordan, Jul 18

Iraq

119

killed

PMF, Peshmerga, police, civilians · Iranian drones hit the Kurdistan PM’s office in Erbil, Aug 17

Gulf States

32

killed

UAE 13 · Kuwait 10 · Bahrain 3 · Saudi 3 · Oman 3

Merchant Seafarers

17

killed — UKMTO / Hormuz incident log

10 injured across 64 vessel incidents since March · 8 ships attacked in August alone · chief engineer of the Minoan Dignity killed Aug 18

8,200+

TOTAL KILLED · 48,000+ WOUNDED · 4.4M+ DISPLACED · 10M+ ACROSS REGION

03 Key Figures Eliminated

Ali Khamenei

Supreme Leader of Iran

Feb 28 — Assassinated in opening strikes

Ali Shamkhani

Top Defense Official

Feb 28

IRGC Commander-in-Chief

Head of Revolutionary Guards

Feb 28

Defence Minister

Ministry of Defence

Feb 28

Esmail Khatib

Intelligence Minister

Early March

Alireza Tangsiri

IRGC Navy Commander

Early March

Ali Larijani

Senior Political Figure

Early March

Gholamreza Soleimani

Basij Militia Commander

Mar 17

Majid Khademi

IRGC Intelligence Chief

Apr 6 — #2 in IRGC

Asghar Bagheri

Quds Force Unit 840 Commander

Apr 6 — Global terror ops chief

Kamal Kharazi

Former FM / Chief Foreign Affairs Strategist

Apr 10 — Died from airstrike wounds

Naim Qassem

Hezbollah Secretary-General

Apr 9 — Israel claims killed. UNCONFIRMED by Hezbollah.

SUCCESSION

Mojtaba Khamenei

New Supreme Leader — son of assassinated Ali Khamenei

Assumed power Mar 8 — untested, defiant. Iran's leadership continues under new command.

04 War Crimes Watch HRW / AMNESTY / UN

ALLEGATIONS AGAINST US / ISRAEL

Minab girls' school — 165+ schoolgirls killed (ages 7-12) on Day 1 by US Tomahawk missile. US admitted "likely" responsible due to targeting error. HRW, Amnesty, UNESCO condemned. Investigated as war crime.

Bushehr nuclear power plant struck 4 times — IAEA "deeply concerned"

Sharif University of Technology bombed — mosque on campus destroyed

Eslamshahr residential area — 13 killed including 6 children under 10

8 bridge segments struck — railway bridge killing 2 in Kashan, 9 dead in Qom

Trump: "A whole civilization will die tonight" — threats to destroy all power plants, bridges, desalination

Rafi-Nia Synagogue in Tehran completely destroyed — Israel "expressed regret"

ALLEGATIONS AGAINST IRAN

Cluster munitions on Israeli cities — banned weapons, confirmed by HRW

Haifa residential building collapse — 4 civilians killed, unintercepted missile

Beit Shemesh synagogue shelter — 9 killed including 4 children

Gulf civilian infrastructure — Kuwait power/water plants, Bahrain refineries, UAE telecoms

Kuwait & Bahrain residential areas struck — 6 injured in Kuwait residential attack

Targeting civilian airports and petrochemical sites across Gulf states

05 The Coalitions

ACTIVE COMBATANTS

Direct military participation

USA CENTCOM — Operation Epic Fury Israel Operation Roaring Lion UK Bases for strikes, Cyprus airspace

HORMUZ SHIPPING COALITION

40 nations signed to reopen Hormuz — primarily to protect shipping and energy interests, not a military alliance with US/Israel

France Germany Italy Netherlands Japan Canada Australia

HOST NATIONS (US BASES)

Saudi Arabia UAE Bahrain Kuwait Qatar

Note: Many European nations have condemned US threats against civilian infrastructure. Gulf states are hosting US bases but are also victims of Iranian strikes.

WITH IRAN

Axis of Resistance + backers

Hezbollah Lebanon Houthis Yemen Iraqi Militias PMF Russia Intel sharing + UN veto China UN veto + diplomacy Syria N. Korea Distancing

NEUTRAL / MEDIATING

Ceasefire brokers

Pakistan Brokered ceasefire Egypt Mediator Turkey Mediator Qatar Oman India

06 Military Losses

US / COALITION LOSSES

15 killed, 415+ wounded (CENTCOM Apr 21)

F-15E Strike Eagle shot down — first US combat air loss in 20 years

A-10 Thunderbolt II shot down over Strait of Hormuz

3x F-15E destroyed by Kuwaiti friendly fire (Mar 2)

2x MC-130 + 4x MH-6 self-destroyed in Iran during rescue op

Multiple MQ-9 Reaper drones lost

4 US bases struck by Iran during ceasefire (Al Udeid, Ali Al Salem, Al Dhafra, 5th Fleet HQ)

War cost: $45B+ (~$1B/day)

IRAN LOSSES

Navy destroyed — 155+ warships and submarines sunk

Air force neutralized — dozens of aircraft destroyed on ground

15,000+ targets struck, 18,000 bombs dropped

1,800+ missiles fired at Israel + Gulf (from original 2,500 arsenal)

60%+ missile launchers destroyed — fire rate collapsed 90%

48+ senior leaders killed incl. Supreme Leader

8 bridges severed — railways suspended nationwide

Petrochemical industry crippled — Mahshahr, South Pars, Asaluyeh

3 Tehran airports struck — Mehrabad, Bahram, Azmayesh

Nuclear sites damaged — Bushehr, Fordow, Isfahan

07 Before & After

Strait of Hormuz

Open — 20M bbl/day

Re-closed after Lebanon strikes. 2,000 ships stranded. Only 2 have passed.

Oil Price

$72/bbl

$110+/bbl (+53%)

Iran's Military

Intact — 4th largest in region

Navy gone, air force gone, 48+ leaders dead

Iran's Leverage

Limited — proxy network

Controls global energy chokepoint

US Public Support

N/A

38% support, 55% oppose

Global Perception

US military supremacy

Growing sympathy for Iran

Iran Leadership

Khamenei — established

Mojtaba — untested, defiant

Lebanon

Fragile peace

2,727+ dead, 8,438+ wounded, 1.2M displaced, ground invasion, excluded from ceasefire, Apr-truce now broken

Qatar LNG

Flowing — world's top exporter

Force majeure — zero exports

War Cost (US)

$0

$45B+ (~$1B/day)

08 Public Perception PEW / YOUGOV / IPSOS

US Public Opinion

Support the war38%

Oppose the war55%

Want quick exit66%

Worried about gas prices69%

Say wrong decision59%

Partisan Divide

Republican support69%

Democrat support10%

Dem disapproval of Trump handling90%

GOP approval of Trump handling69%

International Opinion

Netherlands — view strikes negatively39%

UK — concerned about economy83%

UK — concerned about fuel/energy84%

Spain poll: Trump and Netanyahu seen as greater threats to world peace than Mojtaba Khamenei

The Mood

Iranians formed human chains around power plants and bridges in civilian defiance — images went viral globally, shifting sympathy toward Iran

US lawmakers called to remove Trump after "whole civilization will die" threat. Tucker Carlson urged officials to oppose civilian infrastructure strikes

UN Secretary-General: "No military objective justifies the wholesale destruction of a society's infrastructure"

09 The Ceasefire APR 7 – AUG 20, 2026

MOU EXPIRED — NO NEGOTIATING TRACK

The Jun 17 MOU collapsed on Jul 8 and its 60-day window expired on Aug 17 with no renewal and no negotiating track. Trump demanded Iran "put up the white flag of surrender", declared the Strait of Hormuz "US territory", said on Aug 18 that no talks are underway or scheduled, and on Aug 20 announced an "Economic D-Day" — secondary sanctions on any country still trading with Iran. The UAE responded by suspending all trade and financial transactions with Tehran. US strikes inside Iran are paused — Trump cancelled a threatened multi-day campaign late on Aug 1 and CENTCOM has confirmed no US or Israeli strike on Iranian soil since, a pause now past 20 consecutive nights. The war has moved to the sea and the periphery: the Hormuz blockade, Lebanon, Syria, Iraqi Kurdistan, the Gulf states and a new Houthi-Saudi front in the Red Sea.

CEASEFIRE ACCEPTED BY BOTH SIDES

US TERMS

Two-week suspension of all bombing operations

Iran must immediately reopen Strait of Hormuz — "COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING"

Negotiations to begin in Islamabad, Pakistan — April 10

IRAN'S 5 CONDITIONS FOR PERMANENT PEACE

All acts of "aggression" must end permanently

Guarantees the war will not recur

Payment of war damages and reparations

End the war across all fronts — including Lebanon

Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz recognized

Both sides claimed victory. Iran: "Nearly all war objectives achieved." Trump: "We have met and exceeded all military objectives." Trump at UFC: "It doesn't matter. From the standpoint of America, we win."

OPERATION ETERNAL DARKNESS: Hours after the ceasefire, Israel launched its largest strike of the war on Lebanon — 100+ targets in 10 minutes, 50 jets, 160 munitions. 500+ killed in Lebanon since ceasefire announced; 380+ since Apr 16 truce alone. Death toll has since passed 4,346. Netanyahu: "the ceasefire does not include Lebanon." Vance: "legitimate misunderstanding."

HORMUZ STILL BLOCKED: The US-protected southern corridor remains shut; Iran demands ships route north through its own territorial waters, and the US naval blockade of Iranian ports has been in force since Jul 14. Traffic is down ~30%; 8 vessels were attacked transiting the strait in August alone and 17 merchant mariners have been killed across 64 incidents since March. Trump claims "complete control" and calls the strait "US territory"; Iran rejects both. Brent is back above $90.

ISLAMABAD TALKS COLLAPSE: 21 hours of historic direct talks — first since 1979. No deal. Both delegations left Pakistan. Iran refused to commit to no nuclear weapons. Vance: "best and final offer" left on the table. Iran's FM: "2 or 3 key issues" blocked agreement. Ghalibaf: "US failed to gain our trust." Iran says no plans for further talks — "ball in America's court."

HOW THE CEASEFIRE ROSE AND FELL — DAY 183, THE WAR IS BACK. After weeks in which the Apr 16 Israel-Hezbollah truce was shredded and the wider US-Iran ceasefire held only on paper, mediators reached a memorandum of understanding in mid-June to end hostilities on all fronts — including Lebanon — within 60 days. It survived barely three weeks. The full arc:

MAY 5-6

French CMA CGM tanker San Antonio attacked transiting Hormuz; a US Navy F/A-18 disables an Iranian-flagged tanker in the Gulf of Oman; Israel hits the Beqaa Valley (4 killed) and Beirut's Haret Hreik for the first time since the Lebanon truce.

MAY 7

US-Iran exchange in the Strait — CENTCOM says it intercepted "unprovoked Iranian attacks" on three destroyers and struck launch sites and command centres; explosions on Qeshm and Bandar Abbas; Iran shoots down a US drone over Hormuz.

MAY 8

F/A-18s from USS George H.W. Bush disable tankers Sea Star III and Sevda — 166M+ barrels of capacity worth $13B+. UAE air defenses engage 2 ballistic missiles and 3 drones. Israeli strikes kill 10 in Lebanon. Tehran calls it a "point of no return."

MAY 9-10

Israeli attacks kill at least 24 across Lebanon, then 51 in a single day — the Lebanese toll passes 2,846.

MAY 11-12

Trump weighs reactivating Project Freedom to clear Hormuz; Hezbollah fires rockets and explosive drones at IDF positions; Israeli raids kill 6 in Kfar Dounin; fresh evacuation orders across southern Lebanon.

MAY 14-15

Lebanon-Israel direct talks open in Washington. 1,500+ ships still stranded in the Gulf; oil holds above $100/bbl.

JUN 14

Mediators announce a memorandum of understanding to formally end the war within 60 days.

JUN 17

The US and Iranian presidents sign the MOU — ending hostilities on all fronts including Lebanon, though neither Israel nor Hezbollah is a party to it.

JUN 18

Hormuz traffic rebounds sharply — 25 verified commercial crossings, the highest single-day count since Apr 18.

JUN 19

A flare-up tests the deal — Israel strikes 80+ Hezbollah targets before Israel and Hezbollah renew their ceasefire hours later.

JUN 23-25

Washington talks: Israel agrees to withdraw from two areas of southern Lebanon — but Hezbollah's Naim Qassem rejects the security pact a day after it is signed.

JUN 26-27

An IRGC drone strikes a Singapore-flagged cargo ship in Hormuz. The US retaliates for two straight days — missile and drone stores, coastal radar, and naval facilities at Qeshm and Sirik.

JUN 28

Before dawn the IRGC fires missiles and drones at US military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait; the US strikes near Tehran for a second night. Each side accuses the other of breaching the MOU.

JUL 2-3

A bombing at Damascus's Al-Mushairiya cafe kills 10, including six lawyers; IRGC clashes with Kurdish opposition fighters near Piranshahr (~10 killed per Kurdish rights groups).

JUL 6-7

Iran strikes commercial tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, including a Qatari-flagged vessel.

JUL 7-8

CENTCOM confirms US strikes on 80-90 targets across Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Qeshm, Hengam Island, Jask and Bushehr province.

JUL 8

Trump declares the Jun 17 MOU "over" and reimposes oil sanctions. US strikes kill 8 Iranian soldiers; Iran hits US interests in Iraq and strikes Bahrain and Kuwait.

JUL 9

US hits Bushehr port facilities and Tehran; the Tehran-Mashhad railway is suspended. Iran strikes six Gulf states and fires ~10 ballistic missiles at Jordan's Azraq base — the first Iranian missiles in Jordanian airspace. Ali Khamenei, assassinated Feb 28, is buried in Mashhad; his son Mojtaba remains Supreme Leader. No active negotiating track remains — Qatar and Oman continue quiet mediation.

JUL 11-23

The war's most intense phase since the opening. A US naval blockade of Iranian ports takes effect Jul 14; US forces strike 300+ coastal, port and military targets, then go nightly — the 12th consecutive night falls on Jul 22/23. Iran kills 2 US service members in Jordan on Jul 18 and hits Gulf energy and desalination plants. On Jul 23 the Houthis declare a naval blockade of Saudi Arabia and strike two Saudi tankers in the Red Sea.

AUG 1

Trump cancels a threatened multi-day campaign against Iran late on Aug 1. CENTCOM has confirmed no US or Israeli strike inside Iranian territory since — a pause now running past 20 consecutive nights, even as every other front stays hot.

AUG 4-18

The maritime war becomes the war. Eight vessels are attacked transiting Hormuz in August — the Minoan Pioneer (Aug 4), an ADNOC tanker (Aug 8), the Navig8 Messi and Tarif (Aug 13), the bulk carrier Al Watan (Aug 14) and the Greek-owned Minoan Dignity (Aug 18), whose chief engineer is killed. 17 merchant mariners have now died across 64 incidents since March.

AUG 9-18

A Saudi front opens. The Houthis strike Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery three times (Aug 9, 13, 18), shell Yemen's Mokha port and attack shipping in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb while enforcing their declared blockade of Saudi Arabia.

AUG 17

Two Iranian Hadid-110 drones strike the private office of Kurdistan PM Masrour Barzani and the Parastin agency chief's residence in Erbil — no casualties, but Baghdad and Tehran trade recriminations. The 60-day MOU window expires the same day; Trump tells Iran to "put up the white flag of surrender."

AUG 18

Iran fires two ballistic missiles at the UAE, which intercepts them and which Tehran denies launching. Israel strikes the Abu al-Duhur airbase in Idlib; Netanyahu says it was to stop an imminent Turkish deployment. Turkey, Bahrain, the UAE and the UK condemn it and a US envoy calls it an "unnecessary escalation" — a new rift with Ankara.

AUG 19-20

Brent climbs toward $92 on a fourth straight session of gains. NATO raises readiness ~20% after reports Iran weighed striking US targets in Europe. Trump declares an "Economic D-Day" — the "most crushing economic operation ever" — threatening secondary sanctions on anyone trading with Iran, and the UAE suspends all trade and financial transactions with Tehran.

10 Your Verdict LIVE READER POLL

Was the war on Iran justified?

Who is winning the war?

Will the ceasefire hold?

Have war objectives been met?

11 The Global Ripple

Energy Crisis

Oil price$72 → $110+

US gas prices+30% ($4/gal)

Hormuz trafficDown 90%

Qatar LNGForce majeure

Iraq oil production4.3M → 1.2M bbl/day

IEA: "Largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market"

Humanitarian Fallout

People facing hunger+45M

Global fertilizer via Hormuz30%

Food aid delayedTens of 1000s tons

Nigeria fuel surge+50%

Nepal2-day weekends (fuel)

WFP: Tens of thousands of metric tons of food stuck in transit. IRC: $130K of medicine for Sudan stranded in Dubai.

Iran's Internet Blackout

Duration37+ days

Connectivity4% of normal

RecordLongest ever globally

Daily cost to economy$35.7M/day

Online salesDown 80%

Civilians receive no real-time evacuation warnings. Millions abroad have lost all contact with relatives inside Iran.

Economic Damage

US war cost$45B+ (~$1B/day)

Iran internet losses$1.3B+ (37 days)

Iran petrochemical export85% offline

Global marketsSelloff

Aviation reroutingAirspace closed

Chatham House warns of stagflation risk. Morgan Stanley: "If oil averaged $140/bbl for two months, parts of the global economy enter recession."

12 Voices from the Battlefield

Human Chains at Power Plants

As Trump's midnight deadline approached, thousands of Iranians formed human chains around power plants and bridges across the country. The images went viral globally — ordinary citizens standing in darkness, arms linked, shielding their infrastructure with their bodies. Iran's government had called on "all young people, athletes, artists, students, and professors" to participate.

APR 7 — VIRAL GLOBALLY — SHIFTED PUBLIC SYMPATHY

The Musician at the Power Plant

Iranian musician Ali Ghamsari played the tar — a traditional Persian string instrument — in front of the Damavand power plant. "I hope the sound of my tar can have an impact on peace," he said. The video became one of the defining cultural moments of the war.

APR 7 — CULTURAL MOMENT

The F-15 Rescue Deep Inside Iran

When an F-15E was shot down over western Iran — the first US combat air loss in 20 years — both crew members survived. The WSO, a Colonel, spent days hiding in the Iranian mountains, directing strikes on Iranian positions from his hiding spot. US commandos flew deep into Iran to extract him, then destroyed two MC-130 transport planes and four helicopters on the ground to prevent them falling into enemy hands. Trump declared: "WE GOT HIM!"

APR 3-5 — FIRST US COMBAT AIR LOSS SINCE 2003

"A Whole Civilization Will Die Tonight"

Hours before his self-imposed deadline, Trump posted on Truth Social: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don't want that to happen, but it probably will." The statement drew bipartisan condemnation. US lawmakers called it an incitement to war crimes. The UN Secretary-General responded: "No military objective justifies the wholesale destruction of a society's infrastructure."

APR 7 — DREW BIPARTISAN CONDEMNATION — AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE

The Haifa Building That Didn't Make It

An unintercepted Iranian ballistic missile — carrying a 400kg+ warhead — scored a direct hit on a residential building in Haifa. Three floors collapsed. An elderly couple (Lena, 68, and Vladimir, 73), their son Dima (42), and his partner Lucille Jean (~25) were found after an 18-hour rescue operation described as one of the most complex of the war. They had been trying to reach the stairwell shelter but didn't make it in time.

APR 5 — 4 CIVILIANS KILLED — HAIFA, ISRAEL

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